Why NATO Still Eyes the US Warily, Even With Biden in Charge

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Why NATO Still Eyes the US Warily, Even With Biden in Charge
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Europe’s leaders are looking nervously at what the 2024 Presidential election cycle may mean for U.S. support for the North Atlantic Treaty Organization

hen Joe Biden flew to the wind-swept coast of Cornwall, England, for his first major meeting with leaders of allied nations in June 2021, he wanted to footstomp that the Trumpian era of publicly berating allies and eschewing international cooperation was over. He later recalled declaring to a meeting of foreign leaders, “America is back.

, which former President Donald Trump has long criticized andto walk away from. And that’s added to the urgency of efforts to get the U.S. to bolster NATO as much as possible in the next two years, before a possible shift in the political winds. Putin’s tank blitz into Ukraine in February set off an effort to shift NATO’s strategic posture away from only being equipped to respond to an incursion by Russian troops, and more toward mobilizing to deter a future invasion by creating enough of a military presence along Russia’s border. The strategy is known as “deterrence by denial.”

As Republicans prepare to take control of the House in January, the party’s leaders are signaling that they will be looking more closely at US funding for the war in Ukraine. The likely new Speaker of the House, Rep. Kevin McCarthy, said in October that Americans wouldn’t support. That will likely mean pressure from House Republicans to beef up scrutiny on future rounds of economic assistance going to Ukraine, says Daniel S. Hamilton, a fellow at the Brookings Institution.

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