Why the local election results won't tell us who will win the next general election

Polling experts say it is risky to use local election results to read across directly to general elections that follow 🗳️ But they can nevertheless suggest ‘vibes’ among voters in different parts of the country

was stuck in the parliamentary doldrums, the Tories lost control of 44 councils and 1,330 seats.

“That is particularly the case when it is likely that the next general election is some 16 to 18 months away. “These can have an impact on morale – I can see some very gloomy Labour faces trying their best to spin their way out of a bad night on Friday morning’s broadcast round – and those will inevitably play into a narrative about Starmer.

He added: “There can sometimes be evidence of demographic/geographic shifts in opinion, terms like Red and Blue Wall have cemented themselves into the lexicon because of some of the trends we saw in pre- and post-2019 locals.”

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