The record win in this week’s election is built on flimsy foundations that could quickly fracture
This is part of a Data Points series on the UK election Four and a half years ago, Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour party received just over 10mn votes in the UK’s 2019 general election — a third of all that were cast. This performance resulted in Labour winning 202 seats in the House of Commons, its lowest tally since the 1930s. Wind forward to yesterday and Sir Keir Starmer’s Labour party received half a million fewer votes than in 2019, again a third of the popular vote.
All of these underlying vulnerabilities mean that if Starmer is to succeed where Johnson failed, he will have to deliver tangible improvements quickly if he is to keep his broad coalition of support together. On some issues he may be lucky. Voters’ most urgent demand relates to the cost of living; without lifting a finger Starmer is likely to see inflation continue to recede and interest rates cut. After that things get much more tricky.
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