The low cloud cover of monsoon season in Burma means the junta's air force will be less powerful. Both the Burmese military and ethnic rebels want to make gains before the rains come.
In the jungles of southeastern Burma's Dawna Hills, rebels from an armed ethnic group are fighting to hold back columns of reinforcements sent by the country's ruling junta to try to reclaim Myawaddy, a critical trading outpost on the Thai border.
The junta and the resistance have a limited window to make gains or hold their ground, as rain-laden monsoon clouds begin rolling across Burma around early June. Such weather particularly hampers the military that is strung out on multiple front lines by blunting the advantage of its air power, analysts said.
Facilitating strategic coordination among the plethora of groups will take time, but it will be a decisive factor in determining the outcome of the conflict in Burma,' USIP's Ye Myo Hein said in a recent report. Kyaw Zaw, a spokesman for Burma's shadow National Unity Government, said the junta currently only retained control over big cities in the heartland. 'Even there, they are getting threatened.
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