Stocks Analysis by Lance Roberts covering: USD/JPY, S&P 500, US Small Cap 2000. Read Lance Roberts's latest article on Investing.com
blew up. While media headlines suggested the sell-off was due to fears of a recession, slowing employment growth, or fears over Israel and Iran, such is not the case. As previously noted, headline events like the economy, employment, or geopolitical conflict are quickly evaluated and hedged by market participants.
In our non-options models, we will transition to more “defensive” positions, raise cash levels, and hedge as needed. Nothing suggests anything more than a 5-10% correction between now and November. Such will be the same as last year and historically in line with Presidential election cycles. While many often ignore the warning signs while markets rise, they tend to be the same ones panic-selling when they should buy.
Add or increase the duration of bond allocations, which tend to offset risk during recessionary downturns.If the market declines further or a recession occurs, preparation allows you to survive the impact. Protecting capital will mean less time spent getting back to breakeven afterward. Alternatively, it is relatively easy to reallocate funds to equity risk if we avoid a recession and achieve aHave excess emergency savings, so you are not “forced” to sell during a decline to meet obligations.
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