Big 12 win projections: How many W’s will the Utes and Cougars rack up?
may not be members of the Big 12 anymore, but that’s not going to stop us from experiencing the excitement the conference is going to bring this fall. According to my college football projection model, the Big 12 has the most teams with at least a 2.5 percent chance to win their conference title among the Power Four. It also doesn’t have any teams with more than a 26 percent chance. That smells like chaos.
But let’s talk about the futures market. For future betting, I take my college football projection model — which takes play-by-play data and creates a projection for each team — and simulate the season 100,000 times to see how many games a team is expected to win and how many times they win their conference and make the College Football Playoff.
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