Regression's coming for Justin Wrobleski, and our Dodgers vs. Astros predictions see Yordan Alvarez as the man to take advantage tonight.
Regression's coming for Justin Wrobleski, and our Dodgers vs. Astros predictions see Yordan Alvarez as the man to take advantage tonight.Today’s Game 2 sees Houston as a -135 favorite against rookie starter Justin Wrobleski, and my Dodgers vs. Astros predictions are targeting Yordan Alvarez to do damage. forecasts for a successful day at the dish on Saturday night. As usual, the 27-year-old has been one of the most effective hitters this season with a 157 wRC+ and .
Yordan isn’t fearful of this matchup as he’s obliterated LHP this season with a 178 wRC+ and .421 wOBA. He ranks in the 94th percentile or above in xwOBA, xBA, xSLG, and bat speed, and he shows no signs of slowing down. He’s recorded 2+ total bases in four of his last five games overall and is averaging 2.1 total bases across his last 10 games, making this price a bargain in my opinion.The Astros are practically immune to strikeouts, posting the league’s lowest K rate against LHP. Wrobleski projects to run a K rate just above 20% in his rookie season, so this will be a difficult matchup for him to rack up the punchouts.
Houston has been dead-set on the Under at 41-58 O/U this season while L.A. is 22-29 O/U on the road. These teams tend to play in low-scoring games against one another, cashing the Under in four of their last five matchups at Minute Maid Park.Ronel Blanco gets the start for the Astros, and they’ve been a winning team with him on the mound. The Dodgers have cashed their five innings team total Under in nine of their last 15 games. With Freeman likely out of the lineup again, L.A.
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