Ministers fear they’re about to be ‘screwed over’ by Reeves’ budget

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Ministers fear they’re about to be ‘screwed over’ by Reeves’ budget
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Labour is stuck in a holding pattern while it waits for the Chancellor’s big day

One of the regular complaints heard at Labour conference this year, was: “Is this it?” Keir Starmer’s first annual meet since his party came to power, saw little in the way of planned fireworks.

and has ramped up preparations now she’s back in Westminster. While her decision to talk about a £22bn fiscal black hole and then cut the fuel payment for pensioners has so far proved the most talked about move by Labour in its first few months, that is expected to be just the appetiser. The Budget is likely to be the defining moment of Starmer’s first year – and perhaps his government.

“It’s really tough,” warns a Reeves ally. The Chancellor is trying to perform a careful balancing act of warning of tricky decisions blamed on the Tory inheritance while also not going so far in her measures as to spook business and investors given that this government’s No 1 mission is meant to be economic growth.

The Budget will force Reeves to show her hand and make tough choices. She is under pressure to scrap the two-child benefit cap having only narrowly avoided a large Commons rebellion earlier this year. This could happen – but if it does, it is likely to be packaged alongside tighter rules for benefit claimants. “This is the type of thing MPs are prepared to go to war about,” says a party insider. However, the Chancellor takes the view that the current benefits bill is unsustainable.

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