LABOUR will need to match the scale of the SNP’s last win in Rutherglen and Hamilton West if the party are to meet their expectations for the…
He said if Labour won the by-election taking place on Thursday, how well they win will be just as important.
“They ought to win relatively comfortably if they are going to match the expectations generated by the Scotland-wide polls – of course, by-elections don’t necessarily exactly follow the national polls, but they want it to be in roughly the same place. Polling expert Mark Diffley, founder and director of the Diffley Partnership, pointed to the turnout figures as well as the margin of victory as a key aspect of the by-election.“The national polls tell us that Rutherglen is well within Labour’s reach given what we’re seeing in terms of national swing,” he said.
He added: “Who won and by what margin and then turnout – what that says about the kind of bigger state of play will be particularly important.
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